China Steel Price Index (CSPI) ka March.

Theko ea lihlahisoa tsa tšepe 'marakeng oa malapeng e ile ea fetoha holimo ka March,' me ho thata ho tsoela pele ho phahama nakong ea morao-rao, kahoo ho fetoha ho fokolang ho lokela ho ba mokhoa o ka sehloohong.

Ka March, tlhokahalo ea 'maraka oa malapeng e ne e le matla,' me theko ea lihlahisoa tsa tšepe e ile ea fetoha holimo, 'me keketseho e ne e le khōlō ho feta khoeli e fetileng.Ho tloha qalong ea Mmesa, litheko tsa tšepe li nyolohile pele ebe li oa, hangata li ntse li tsoela pele ho fetoha ho ea holimo.

1. Lenane la theko ea tšepe ea lehae la China le ile la phahama khoeli le khoeli.

Ho ea ka tlhokomelo ea Iron le SteelMetsoalletsoela pele,qetellong ea March, China Steel Price Index (CSPI) e ne e le lintlha tsa 136.28, keketseho ea lintlha tsa 4,92 ho tloha bofelong ba February, keketseho ea 3.75%, le keketseho ea selemo le selemo ea lintlha tsa 37.07, keketseho ea 37.37%.(Sheba ka tlase)

Chate ea China Steel Price Index (CSPI).

走势图

  • Litheko tsa lihlahisoa tse kholo tsa tšepe li nyolohile.

Qetellong ea Tlhakubele, litheko tsa mefuta e robeli e meholo ea litšepe tse hlokometsoeng ke Mokhatlo oa Tšepe le Litšepe li ile tsa eketseha.Har'a tsona, litheko tsa tšepe ea mahlakoreng, lipoleiti tse bohareng le tse boima, li-coil tse chesang tse chesang le liphaephe tse se nang metsi tse chesang li eketsehile haholo, li nyoloha ka 286 yuan / ton, 242 yuan / ton, 231 yuan / tonne le 289 yuan / tonne ka ho latellana. ho tloha khoeling e fetileng;Keketseho ea theko ea rebar, lakane e phuthetsoeng e batang le lakane ea masenke e ne e batla e le nyane, e nyoloha ka 114 yuan/ton, 158 yuan/ton, 42 yuan/ton le 121 yuan/ton ka ho latellana ho tloha khoeling e fetileng.(Sheba tafole e ka tlase)

Lethathamo la liphetoho tsa litheko le li-indices tsa lihlahisoa tse kholo tsa tšepe

主要钢材品种价格及指数变化情况表

2.Analysis ea lintlha tse fetohang tsa theko ea tšepe 'marakeng oa lehae.

Ka March, 'maraka oa lehae o ile oa kena nakong ea tlhōrō ea tšebeliso ea tšepe, tlhokahalo ea tšepe e tlaase e ne e le matla, litheko tsa' maraka tsa machaba li ile tsa phahama, thepa e tsoang linaheng tse ling e boetse e boloka khōlo, litebello tsa 'maraka li ile tsa eketseha,' me theko ea tšepe e ntse e eketseha.

  • (1) Indasteri e kholo ea tšepe e tsitsitse ebile e ntlafala, 'me tlhokahalo ea tšepe e ntse e hōla.

Ho latela Ofisi ea Naha ea Lipalopalo, kakaretso ea lihlahisoa tsa naha (GDP) kotareng ea pele e eketsehile ka 18.3% selemo le selemo, 0.6% ho tloha kotara ea bone ea 2020, le 10.3% ho tloha kotareng ea pele ea 2019;matsete a thepa e tsitsitseng a naha (ntle le malapa a mahaeng) a eketsehile selemo le selemo ka 25.6%.Hara tsona, matsete a meralo ya motheo a eketsehile ka 29.7% selemo le selemo, matsete a ntshetsopele ya meaho e eketsehile ka 25.6% selemo le selemo, mme sebaka se setjha sa matlo se eketsehile ka 28.2%.Ka Hlakubele, boleng bo ekelitsoeng ba likhoebo tsa indasteri kaholimo ho boholo bo boletsoeng bo eketsehile ka 14.1% selemo le selemo.Har'a bona, indasteri ea tlhahiso ea lisebelisoa tse akaretsang e eketsehile ka 20.2%, indasteri ea tlhahiso ea lisebelisoa tse khethehileng e eketsehile ka 17.9%, indasteri ea tlhahiso ea likoloi e eketsehile ka 40.4%, indasteri ea tlhahiso ea literene, likepe, sefofane le lisebelisoa tse ling tsa lipalangoang e eketsehile ka 9.8%, le indasteri ea tlhahiso ea mechini ea motlakase le lisebelisoa e eketsehile ka 24.1%.Indasteri ea tlhahiso ea lisebelisoa tsa elektroniki, likhomphutha, likhokahano le tse ling e holile ka 12.2%.Ka kakaretso, moruo oa naha o qalile hantle kotareng ea pele, 'me indasteri ea tšepe e tlase e na le tlhokahalo e matla.

  • (2) Tlhahiso ea tšepe e bolokile boemo bo phahameng, 'me thepa e romelloang linaheng tse ling e eketsehile haholo.

Ho ea ka lipalo-palo tsa Mokhatlo oa Iron le Steel, ka March, tlhahiso ea naha ea tšepe ea kolobe, tšepe e tala le tšepe (ntle le lisebelisoa tse pheta-phetoang) e ne e le lithane tse limilione tse 74.75, lithane tse limilione tse 94.02 le lithane tse limilione tse 11.87, ka ho latellana, ho ea ho 8.9%. 19.1% le 20.9% selemo le selemo;Tlhahiso ea letsatsi le letsatsi ea tšepe e ne e le lithane tse limilione tse 3.0329, e leng keketseho ea 2.3% likhoeling tse peli tsa pele.Ho ea ka lipalo-palo tsa meetlo, ka March, tlhahiso ea naha ea lihlahisoa tsa tšepe e ne e le lithane tse limilione tse 7,54, e leng keketseho ea selemo le selemo ea 16,4%;lihlahisoa tsa tšepe tse tsoang linaheng tse ling e ne e le lithane tse limilione tse 1.32, keketseho ea selemo le selemo ea 16.0%;thepa e romelloang kantle ho naha ea tšepe e ne e le lithane tse limilione tse 6.22, keketseho ea selemo le selemo ea 16.5%.Tlhahiso ea tšepe 'marakeng oa lehae e ile ea boloka boemo bo phahameng, lihlahisoa tsa tšepe li ile tsa tsoela pele ho khutlela morao,' me boemo ba phepelo le tlhokahalo marakeng oa tšepe bo ile ba lula bo tsitsitse.

  • (3) Litheko tsa merafo e tsoang linaheng tse ling le coke ea mashala li lokisitsoe, ’me litheko tsa kakaretso li ntse li phahame.

Ho ea ka lipalo-palo tsa Mokhatlo oa Iron le Steel, qetellong ea March, theko ea tšepe ea lehae ea tšepe e ile ea eketseha ka 25 yuan / tonne, theko ea ore e tsoang linaheng tse ling (CIOPI) e ile ea theoha ka 10.15 US dollar / tonne, 'me theko ea mashala a ho pheha le coke metallurgical e theohile ka 45 yuan/ton le 559 yuan/ton ka ho latellana.Ton, theko ea lisebelisoa tsa tšepe e eketsehile ka 38 yuan/ton khoeli le khoeli.Ho latela maemo a selemo le selemo, tšepe ea lehae e tsepamisitse maikutlo 'me ore e tsoang kantle ho naha e nyolohile ka 55.81% le 93.22%, theko ea mashala a coke le metallurgical coke e nyolohile ka 7.97% le 26.20%,' me litheko tsa tšepe tse setseng li nyolohile ka 32.36%.Litheko tsa thepa e tala le mafura li ntse li kopana ka boemo bo phahameng, tse tla tsoela pele ho tšehetsa litheko tsa tšepe.

 

3.Theko ea lihlahisoa tsa tšepe marakeng oa machaba e ile ea tsoela pele ho phahama, 'me keketseho ea khoeli le khoeli e ile ea eketseha.

Ka March, index ea machaba ea theko ea tšepe (CRU) e ne e le lintlha tsa 246.0, keketseho ea lintlha tsa 14,3 kapa 6.2% khoeli le khoeli, keketseho ea karolo ea 2,6 lekholong ho feta khoeli e fetileng;keketseho ea lintlha tse 91.2 kapa 58.9% ka nako e tšoanang selemong se fetileng.(Sheba setšoantšo le tafole e ka tlase)

Chate ea International Steel Price Index (CRU).

International Steel Price Index (CRU) chart

4.Analysis ea mokhoa oa theko ea maraka a tšepe hamorao.

Hajoale, 'maraka oa tšepe o nakong ea tlhokeho e phahameng.Ka lebaka la lintlha tse kang lithibelo tsa tšireletso ea tikoloho, litebello tsa phokotso ea tlhahiso le kholo ea thomello, litheko tsa tšepe 'marakeng oa morao-rao li lebelletsoe ho lula li tsitsitse.Leha ho le joalo, ka lebaka la keketseho e kholo ea nako ea pele le lebelo la khōlo e potlakileng, bothata ba ho fetisetsa indastering e ka tlaase bo eketsehile, 'me ho thata hore theko e tsoele pele ho phahama nakong ea morao-rao,' me liphetoho tse nyenyane li lokela ho ba teng. lebaka le ka sehloohong.

  • (1) Ho lebeletsoe hore kholo ea moruo oa lefatše e ntlafatse, ’me tlhokahalo ea tšepe e tsoela pele ho hōla

Ha re sheba boemo ba machaba, boemo ba moruo oa lefatše bo tsoela pele ho ntlafala.Letlole la Boditšhabatšhaba la Ditšhelete (IMF) le lokolotse “Pego ya Tebego ya Ikonomi ya Lefatshe” ka la bo 6 Moranang, e e bolelelang pele gore ikonomi ya lefatshe e tla gola ka 6.0% ka 2021, go tlhatloga ka 0.5% go tswa mo ponelopeleng ya Ferikgong;Mokhatlo oa Lefatše oa Tšepe o fane ka ponelopele ea nako e khuts'oane ka la 15 Mmesa Ka 2021, tlhoko ea tšepe ea lefats'e e tla fihla ho lithane tse limilione tse likete tse 1.874, keketseho ea 5.8%.Har'a bona, Chaena e ile ea hōla ka 3.0%, ntle le linaha le libaka tse ling ntle le Chaena, tse ileng tsa hōla ka 9.3%.Ha re sheba boemo ba lehae, naha ea heso e selemong sa pele sa “14th Five-year Plan”.Ha moruo oa lehae o ntse o tsoela pele ho ntlafala butle-butle, tšireletso ea lintlha tsa morero oa matsete e 'nile ea matlafatsoa ka mokhoa o tsoelang pele, 'me mokhoa oa kgolo oa tsosoloso e tsitsitseng ea matsete nakong e tlang e tla tsoela pele ho kopanngoa."Ho ntse ho e-na le sebaka se sengata sa matsete phetohong ea liindasteri tsa setso le ntlafatso ea liindasteri tse ntseng li hōla, tse nang le phello e matla e susumetsang tlhokahalo ea tlhahiso le tšepe.

  • (2) Tlhahiso ea tšepe e ntse e le boemong bo batlang bo le holimo, ’me ho thata hore litheko tsa tšepe li nyolohe haholo.

Ho ea ka lipalo-palo tse tsoang ho Iron and Steel Association, matsatsing a pele a leshome a April, tlhahiso ea letsatsi le letsatsi ea tšepe e sa hloekang (tekanyo e tšoanang) ea lik'hamphani tsa bohlokoa tsa tšepe e eketsehile ka 2.88% khoeli le khoeli, 'me ho hakanngoa hore tšepe e tala ea naha. tlhahiso e eketsehile ka 1.14% khoeli le khoeli.Ho latela pono ea boemo ba lehlakore la phepelo, "ho hetla morao" ho fokotsa matla a tšepe le tšepe, phokotso ea tlhahiso ea tšepe e tala, le tlhokomelo ea tikoloho e haufi le ho qala, 'me ho thata hore tlhahiso ea tšepe e sa jeoang e eketsehe haholo. nako ya morao.Ho tloha lehlakoreng la tlhokahalo, ka lebaka la keketseho e potlakileng le e kholo ea theko ea tšepe ho tloha ka March, liindasteri tsa tšepe tse tlaase tse kang ho haha ​​​​likepe le lisebelisoa tsa ntlo li ke ke tsa mamella ho kopanya ho phahameng ho tsoelang pele ha theko ea tšepe, 'me litheko tsa tšepe tse latelang li ke ke tsa tsoela pele ho phahama haholo.

  • (3) Lisebelisoa tsa tšepe li ile tsa tsoela pele ho fokotseha, 'me khatello ea' maraka e ile ea fokotseha nakong e tlang.

E anngoe ke khōlo e potlakileng ea tlhokahalo marakeng oa lehae, lihlahisoa tsa tšepe li 'nile tsa tsoela pele ho fokotseha.Mathoasong a April, ho ea ka pono ea lihlahisoa tsa sechaba, lihlahisoa tsa sechaba tsa lihlahisoa tse hlano tse kholo tsa tšepe metseng ea 20 e ne e le lithane tse limilione tse 15,22, tse neng li theohile ka matsatsi a mararo a latellanang.Phokotseho e ntseng e eketseha e bile lithane tse limilione tse 2.55 ho tloha sebakeng se phahameng nakong ea selemo, phokotseho ea 14.35%;phokotseho ea lithane tse limilione tse 2.81 selemo le selemo.15.59%.Ho ea ka pono ea thepa ea khoebo ea tšepe, lipalo-palo tsa bohlokoa tsa mokhatlo oa tšepe le oa tšepe oa thepa ea tšepe ea tšepe ke lithane tse limilione tse 15.5, e leng keketseho ho tloha halofo ea pele ea khoeli, empa ha e bapisoa le ntlha e phahameng selemong sona seo, e ile ea oa ka 2.39 lithane tse limilione, phokotseho ea 13.35%;phokotso ea selemo le selemo ea lithane tse limilione tse 2,45, ho fokotseha E ne e le 13.67%.Litokomane tsa likhoebo le tsa sechaba li ile tsa tsoela pele ho theoha, 'me khatello ea 'maraka e ile ea fokotseha le ho feta nakong e tlang.

 

5. Litaba tsa mantlha tse hlokang ho eloa hloko 'marakeng oa morao-rao:

  • Ntlha ea pele, boemo ba tlhahiso ea tšepe bo batla bo phahame, 'me tekanyo ea phepelo le tlhokahalo e tobane le mathata.Ho tloha ka Pherekgong ho ya ho Hlakubele selemong sena, tlhahiso ya naha ya tshepe e tala e fihlile ho ditone tse dimilione tse 271, e leng keketseho ya selemo le selemo ya 15.6%, e bolokang tlhahiso e batlang e le hodimo.Tekatekano ya phepelo le tlhokeho ya mmaraka e tobane le diphephetso, mme ho na le sekgeo se seholo dipakeng tsa ditlhoko tsa naha tsa phokotso ya dihlahiswa tsa selemo le selemo.Likhoebo tsa tšepe le tšepe li lokela ho hlophisa lebelo la tlhahiso ka mokhoa o utloahalang, ho fetola sebopeho sa sehlahisoa ho latela liphetoho tse hlokahalang 'marakeng, le ho khothaletsa botsitso ba phepelo le tlhoko ea mmaraka.

 

  • Ea bobeli, litheko tse ntseng li fetoha tse phahameng tsa thepa e tala le mafura li ekelitse khatello ho lik'hamphani tsa tšepe ho fokotsa litšenyehelo le ho eketsa ts'ebetso.Ho ea ka tlhokomelo ea Mokhatlo oa Iron and Steel, ka la 16 April, theko ea tšepe ea tšepe ea CIOPI e tsoang linaheng tse ling e ne e le US $ 176.39 / ton, e leng keketseho ea selemo le selemo ea 110.34%, e neng e le holimo haholo ho feta ho eketseha ha litheko tsa tšepe.Litheko tsa lisebelisoa tse tala tse kang tšepe ea tšepe, scrap iron, le coke coke ea mashala li tsoela pele ho phahama, e leng se tla eketsa khatello ho lik'hamphani tsa tšepe le tsa tšepe ho fokotsa litšenyehelo le ho eketsa ts'ebetso ka mekhahlelo ea morao-rao.

 

  • Ntlha ea boraro, moruo oa lefatše o tobane le mabaka a sa tsitsang ’me thepa e romelloang kantle ho naha e tobane le mathata a maholo.Labohlano le fetileng, Mokhatlo oa Lefatše oa Bophelo o ile oa tšoara seboka sa boralitaba se bolelang hore likhoeling tse peli tse fetileng, palo ea beke le beke ea linyeoe tse ncha lefatšeng ka bophara e batla e imenne habeli, 'me e ntse e atamela sekhahla se phahameng ka ho fetisisa sa ts'oaetso ho tloha ha koluoa ​​​​e qala, e tla baka kotsi. hulela ho hlasimoloha ha moruo oa lefatše le tlhoko.Ho feta moo, leano la lehae la puseletso ea lekhetho la thepa e tsoang kantle ho naha le ka fetoloa, 'me thepa e romelloang kantle ho naha ea tšepe e tobane le mathata a maholo.

Nako ea poso: Apr-22-2021